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Security Research

Web Transactions Per User Per Day

image
THREATLABZ
January 25, 2011 - 3 分で読了

I searched the web recently looking for statistics on the average number of web transactions that end-users make per day, and equations for estimating end-user web transactions. I couldn't find anything that was worth repeating, so I ran my own numbers from Zscaler data.


First, a quick note on what I'm defining as a web transaction- all HTTP(S) client requests / server responses. Some web pages have a large number of web transactions associated with a single web page, for example, the cnn.com homepage has 127 transactions:
ImageOther's like Google's search results pages contain only a few transactions:
ImageI took a random sampling of 100,000 users (excluding group accounts and inactive users) for a 24-hour period on a non-holiday mid-week day. These users are from a global population of enterprise users that typically work an 8-10 hour day. I set a minimum threshold of 500 transactions for an account to be considered an active user - those with less than 500 transactions could be system-driven versus user-driven transactions (e.g., Windows Update), part-time workers, or temporary/test accounts.

The average for this data sample was:
3343.80227 web transactions per user per day
 
So, within a small organization with 1,000 active users - there are roughly 3.34 million web transactions from the organization's user population during a workday. Note: when I originally ran the numbers I included accounts with <500 transactions within the randomly selected user population- these accounted for roughly 14% of the randomly selected user population and brought the average down to 2251 web transactions per user per day. Because it is unlikely that an organization's entire user-population will be active at once, it may be important to consider approximately 10% of your organization's user-population as inactive.

The maximum number of web transactions from a single user account was 597,064 (this was an outlier). The median (50th percentile) was 1912 web transactions per user per day.

Image
The above plot is the number of users (Y-axis) with a web transaction count between 500 and 4,000 (X-axis) for a 24-hour period. There are a number of users with <1000 transactions in a day, but there is a long "tail" to the right of highly active users. Plotting the aggregated user count for web transaction ranges in the thousands (e.g., data point 2 contains the transaction range 2000-2999) with the transaction range in reverse order shows that the curve is roughly exponential (inverse natural log function).

ImageThe black trendline that was generated in Excel from our data was:
 
y = 18293e ^ (-0.267x)
Where,
e is the mathematical constant, 2.71828
x is the transaction range in thousands (e.g., 2 = 2000-2999 transactions)
y is the user population (based on a 100,000 user population) that fall into the "x" transaction range

To estimate your user population for a specific transaction range, modify the equation to be:
 
y = (total_user_population * 0.18293e) ^ (-0.267x)
 
Using this function it is possible to roughly estimate the number of users that have a specific range of transactions (e.g., power web users) within an organization within a 24-hour period.

A relatively small organization of 300 users must deal with an estimated 1 million web transactions in a 24-hour period for their user population. Some estimates of the 2011 Federal Government payroll state a work-force of 1.35 million Federal civilian employees -- this is an estimated 4.5 billion web transactions a day (this does not include Federal civilian contractors).

These types of numbers are good for an organization to be aware of when considering scaling solutions for enforcing web security / policy and for storing and analyzing transactions.
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